You Heard it Here First

Erica and Katie have made their NCAA tournament picks.

Upset Specials from the 5-Year-Olds:

Katie has American in the Sweet 16, knocking off Tennessee and Butler.
Erica has Austin Peay in the Sweet 16, beating Texas and Saint Mary's to get there.
Katie has Portland State over Kansas. Apparently she has about as much confidence in the Jayhawks and Darren McFarland has.
Erica picked San Diego over Connecticut and Cornell over Stanford.

Katie's Final 4: Louisville, Vanderbilt, Stanford and Duke, with Duke over Louisville in the title game

Erica's Final 4: Tennessee, Georgetown, Memphis, and UCLA, with Georgetown beating Memphis for the title.

Remember, these were the only two three-year-olds in the country to predict the George Mason-Wichita State Sweet 16 game a couple of years ago, so there you go.

My Bracketology turned out "not too bad." I got 63 out of 65 right, and 49 within one seed line. I had Illinois State and New Mexico while the committee put in Oregon and Villanova. The biggest miss in terms of seed line was Vanderbilt. I gave them an 8, the committee put them at 4. Counting Oregon and Illinois State as 3-line misses and Villanova and New Mexico as 1-line misses, my average error was 0.86. The pros generally run in the 0.65-0.75 range. I was also one of a very few to correctly predcit the play-in game teams.

Not bad for an amateur.