Thursday, November 13, 2008

Thumbnail Preview -- North Florida

Last Year: 3-26 overall, 1-15 in conference. Ineligible for the conference tournament during reclassification.

Losses: Tom Hammonds transferred to Lambuth. Chris Timberlake and James Grimball graduated.

Key Returners: Stan Januska, Devon Jones, and Jermaine Sparks are returning starters. Justin Cecil and Cortez Riley also saw significant minutes last year.

Show Me Numbers: Last year, UNF had seven games where they were tied or within six at the end of regulation. Winnable games, to be sure, but they need to find a way to do so. That said, the Ospreys lost over half of their production from last year, such as it was. Returning players only shot 57.3% from the FT line and 27.5% from 3-point range. As a team, they were last in the conference in every ball-in-hoop category.

Quick Analysis: Last season's numbers bear a striking resemblance to "rock bottom." The Ospreys hope not to go sideways this year. They should have a decent look at 40% FG shooting and 30% from 3-point range, but whether it will be enough to get up off the floor of the conference remains to be seen. UNF's best hope may be on the defensive end. They slow the game down nicely, and held all but 3 conference opponents under 80 points last year.

Stat Projection: 0.90 PPP, 0.98 PEP, and 67.52 PEG are all in the bottom two in the conference.

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