Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Thumbnail Preview -- Campbell Men

Campbell

Last Year: 10-20 overall, 5-11 in conference

Losses: 30-game starter Reggie Bishop. Also Jake Wolfheil and Julius Perkins, plus several depth guys.

Key Returners: Jonathan Rodriguez, who last year got my unofficial vote for Player of the Year. Also back are Kyle Vejraska and Junard Hartley.

Show Me Numbers: Returning Campbell players made over 50% of their 2-point shots last year, but less than 32% of their 3's. Campbell lost 1/2 of their non-Rodriguez rebounding to graduation.

Quick Analysis: Jonathan Rodriguez is to Campbell what Eddie Ard was for Lipscomb. He's a really good player, but he needs a supporting cast around him to take some of the defensive pressure off. Thus, this year Campbell's success will hinge on how well they play in the paint. Inside shooting, combined with offensive and defensive rebounding will be the key stats to watch.

Stat Projection: On paper, Campbell looks pretty good. Their 1.21 projected PEP is second-best in the A-Sun. They also project to be 4th in FG% and second in FT%. If they play good defense and pick their spots from 3-point range, they'll definitely be higher in the standings than last year. I'm not quite ready to declare them the second-best team in the conference, but look for them to wear home jerseys on the first day of the A-Sun tournament.

No comments: