Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Random Nerd Bracketology Update -- January 24, 2012

These will usually come on Tuesdays, or in busy weeks Wednesday.

1 Syracuse Kentucky Ohio State Kansas
16 MVSU/Texas-Arlington Stony Brook/UNC-Asheville Norfolk State Weber State
8 Vanderbilt Illinois Gonzaga California
9 Murray State Memphis St. Louis Mississippi State
4 Kansas State Indiana Florida UNLV
13 Northwestern/N. C. State Long Beach State Iona Oral Roberts
5 Creighton Virginia Seton Hall West Virginia
12 BYU Cincinnati/Xavier Texas Purdue
2 Duke Missouri Baylor Michigan State
15 Belmont New Mexico State Wagner Bucknell
7 Louisville Michigan San Diego State Connecticut
10 Temple Dayton Minnesota Southern Miss
3 Wisconsin Georgetown Marquette North Carolina
14 VCU Ohio U Cleveland State Davidson
6 Alabama Wichita State Florida State Saint Mary's
11 Iowa State New Mexico MTSU Harvard

Ins -- Bucknell (replaces Lehigh), Cincinnati, N. C. State
Outs -- Stanford, Marshall

Biggest Movers -- Florida State (+4), Florida (+3), Connecticut (-3), Illinois (-3), California (-3), BYU (-3), New Mexico (-4)

Top 10 Out -- Wyoming, Northern Iowa, Stanford, South Dakota State, Central Florida, Virginia Tech, LaSalle, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi

By Conference: ACC 5, A-10 4, Big 10 9, Big East 8, Big 12 6, C-USA 2, Missouri Valley 2, Mountain West 3, SEC 5, West Coast 3

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

I think you Vandy as an 8 seed is wrong. Their early losses were without Ezeli. You have Marquette as a 3 and Vandy went to their house and clobbered them. You have Bama as a 6 and Vandy went to their house and clobbered them too. Does ANY logic go into these projections?

Anonymous said...

Vandy an 8 , Bama a 6?, Marquette a 3?

Vandy went to both of those and handed them a beatdown. With center Ezeli back, they have lost to three top 20 teams in overtime. i have them a high 4 seed.

Ben Wiles said...

I appreciate the comments.

Two things re: Vandy -- Single-game Head-to-head is probably the last thing the committee is going to look at. By March, they'll have 30 games each to look at instead of one or two.

Also, Vandy is climbing. In the bracket I'm about to put up, I have them at a 5. My theory on in-season bracketology is that it's a picture of the standings today, not a guess about how they will end up. The more games Vandy gets on its resume with Ezeli in the line-up, the higher they will climb.

Ben Wiles said...

Also bear in mind that it's still early. Teams can make a 4-5 seed-line jump (or fall) in a single week. I suspect that as the season goes on, the seed lines will get more stable.